New DS Color for the ladies...Metallic Rose...

Starrynite said:
Based on the Wii's histroy of appeal, it will probably break all common knowledge go against business tradition and continue to be sold out at retailers for the rest of its lifetime.
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But increasing production enough might see it superceeding demand, and preventing that from happening.
 
Yes but unless they increase production 2-4 fold, then it seems like that the superceeding of demand would never happen for the ever-popular and accessible Wii.
 
Starrynite said:
Yes but unless they increase production 2-4 fold, then it seems like that the superceeding of demand would never happen for the ever-popular and accessible Wii.
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Honestly, there's no possible way for you or I to judge how large the demand for the Wii is. The one thing we know is that the demand is larger than the current supply. Saying anything else (like demand is 2-4 times larger than the current supply) is just a blind stab in the dark. It's likely that Nintendo isn't even sure of exactly what the demand for the Wii is.
 
No one's sure of the demand because there's no way to calculate it beyond 'above supply'.
 
Using complex algorithms developed by the best of the business community on Cell technology. I thought places had ways of figuring this stuff out, if they can label a price on Gold, Platinum, and Silver and estimate the amount of remaining Gasoline we have in the world then surely we can predict the demand for a simple product for years to come.
 
See, you just pointed out things that change with supply, then tried saying they could do the same thing with demand. u c wut u did rong thar?
 
You said we could calculate the price tag on rare metals, which is determined by seeing the supply we have. You also said we can estimate the supply of oil left in the world, then said something about demand.
 
Yes isnt that equal to us seeing the supply of Wii we have and estimating the supply of Wii that will vanish in each month, and then accurately pinpointing the amount of Wii that will sell in the coming years?
 
Yes it is. There is no difference between guesstimating the Wii that will be sold in 2 years and the amount of oil that will be removed from our numerous oil reserves.
 
Our oil wells are constant, unlike Wii demand. Fossil fuels will always have an endless demand, the Wii will not.
 
That is a striking if not false point to make.

Wii Demand has been Constantly over 200,000 units a month. So if anything that is constant.
Based on that Wii will also have endless demand over a period of maybe 8 more years.
 
For one, it's around 700,000. As as more people buy it, less people need it. Gas and other uses for oil is also expendable. You need to put more gas in your car. You do not need to put another Wii next to your TV.
 
No, for the Wii it is more like,

WE need to get grandma a Wii and then give auntie and uncle and neighbor and everyone in the family a Wii. So in essence a Wii is now a necessity and not a luxury. As more people buy the Wii more people want it as they see it in their homes and say that they need it. Unlike oil which is, if you buy a car you can only run it on oil or some other concoction.
 
We're comparing the Wii with gas?

Though the majority of Wii's are owned by the "casual" audience and that's why they have such bad shovelware on their system (that and Nintendo has no control over what 3rd party games are brought to the Wii...the only company of the three who doesn't), I don't see the comparison. The Wii doesn't go up in price every day like gas. >_>

But back to the topic, Metallic Rose! It's...metallicy.
 
Starrynite said:
Using complex algorithms developed by the best of the business community on Cell technology. I thought places had ways of figuring this stuff out, if they can label a price on Gold, Platinum, and Silver and estimate the amount of remaining Gasoline we have in the world then surely we can predict the demand for a simple product for years to come.
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Commodities and precious metals are completely different than the game market. Not only that, but predicting the prices of any of those things beyond a year away is impossible, especially since Nixon got rid of the gold standard in the 70's. We know the supply of those things, as you said, but supply and demand aren't inexorably linked. If something is no longer needed, or already has the existing market saturated, supply is completely irrelevant as demand will fall off even supply is incredibly low.

In the game market, supply is even more irrelevant to demand. Demand for a game console is based mostly on the console's features, games, popularity, and other things, but gaming is a diverse market so there isn't a simple equation you can throw these things into to get the demand for a console. The only sure-fire way to determine demand is to have supply superceed it and see how many consoles are sold. However many consoles are sold is the demand for the console.
 
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